{"meta": {"updated": "2026-08-06", "unit": "%", "title": "Proportion of S&P 500 Beating Earnings Estimates", "source": "Q1 2006-Q1 2026: Deutsche Bank Research (via The Daily Shot / SoberLook, Aug 2026), digitized; Q2 2026+: FactSet Earnings Insight (insight.factset.com)", "method": "history digitized from published chart (+/-1pp, cross-checked vs FactSet); current quarter from FactSet reported beat rate", "latest": 86.0, "latest_q": "Q2 2026", "latest_as_of": "2026-07-31", "avg_2006_19": 74.0, "hi": 86.2, "hi_q": "Q2 2021", "lo": 63.8, "lo_q": "Q4 2008", "recessions": [["2007-12", "2009-06"], ["2020-02", "2020-04"]], "start": "2006-03"}, "rows": [{"d": "2006-03", "v": 74.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2006-06", "v": 74.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2006-09", "v": 74.2, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2006-12", "v": 73.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2007-03", "v": 72.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2007-06", "v": 73.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2007-09", "v": 70.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2007-12", "v": 69.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2008-03", "v": 69.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2008-06", "v": 70.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2008-09", "v": 65.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2008-12", "v": 63.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2009-03", "v": 69.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2009-06", "v": 76.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2009-09", "v": 81.6, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2009-12", "v": 78.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2010-03", "v": 81.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2010-06", "v": 79.9, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2010-09", "v": 77.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2010-12", "v": 74.9, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2011-03", "v": 72.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2011-06", "v": 75.7, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2011-09", "v": 74.9, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2011-12", "v": 67.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2012-03", "v": 70.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2012-06", "v": 70.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2012-09", "v": 71.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2012-12", "v": 74.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2013-03", "v": 72.0, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2013-06", "v": 70.7, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2013-09", "v": 71.9, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2013-12", "v": 71.6, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2014-03", "v": 73.0, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2014-06", "v": 73.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2014-09", "v": 77.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2014-12", "v": 74.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2015-03", "v": 72.0, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2015-06", "v": 73.0, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2015-09", "v": 73.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2015-12", "v": 75.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2016-03", "v": 76.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2016-06", "v": 76.7, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2016-09", "v": 75.9, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2016-12", "v": 72.7, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2017-03", "v": 77.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2017-06", "v": 76.6, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2017-09", "v": 74.0, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2017-12", "v": 74.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2018-03", "v": 76.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2018-06", "v": 78.7, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2018-09", "v": 75.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2018-12", "v": 69.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2019-03", "v": 74.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2019-06", "v": 76.6, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2019-09", "v": 77.2, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2019-12", "v": 73.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2020-03", "v": 68.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2020-06", "v": 82.5, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2020-09", "v": 83.0, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2020-12", "v": 81.6, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2021-03", "v": 85.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2021-06", "v": 86.2, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2021-09", "v": 82.7, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2021-12", "v": 79.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2022-03", "v": 77.2, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2022-06", "v": 76.6, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2022-09", "v": 73.0, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2022-12", "v": 72.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2023-03", "v": 78.6, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2023-06", "v": 81.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2023-09", "v": 80.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2023-12", "v": 78.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2024-03", "v": 80.2, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2024-06", "v": 80.1, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2024-09", "v": 77.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2024-12", "v": 77.7, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2025-03", "v": 78.2, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2025-06", "v": 81.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2025-09", "v": 81.3, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2025-12", "v": 77.8, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2026-03", "v": 84.4, "src": "digitized", "as_of": "2026-08-02"}, {"d": "2026-06", "v": 86.0, "src": "factset", "as_of": "2026-07-31"}]}